Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 3 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PARTERRE A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 2 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD H-/B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL RICHES Led early CP M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 44.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 43.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS P-/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 6 | 35.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING VICTORY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by L Ho, won by 1-1/4, with HORSESAIN BOLT second and TEMPEST EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PARTERRE | 15.2% | 6.57 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | MALDIVES | 12.2% | 8.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 12.1% | 8.25 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 9.7% | 10.36 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL RICHES | 9.0% | 11.17 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 7.0% | 14.37 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 6.4% | 15.51 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION | 6.2% | 16.25 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 5.3% | 18.95 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 4.6% | 21.72 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 4.0% | 24.93 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 3.3% | 30.15 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 3.0% | 33.89 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 2.1% | 47.42 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 55.5
PLACE
6 20
11 21
14 30.5
QUINELLA
11,14 289.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 81.5
6,14 146.5
11,14 95
FORECAST
11,14 802
TIERCE
11,14,6 4,022
TRIO
6,11,14 555
FIRST 4
1,6,11,14 698
QUARTET
11,14,6,1 20,708
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 23.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,7/6,11,14 158,395
9TH DOUBLE
7/11 769.5
7/14 215
SIX UP
3,8/5,10/4,6/1,2/1,7/11,14 1,648
3/10/4/1/7/11 1,171,262
1 [F C Lor] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/7/11 1,925
1/7/14 605