Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 17:18
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with MONEY CATCHER second and CELESTIAL POWER third. The winner led throughout. The 3.8 favourite MONEY CATCHER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Wire to wire B 1.34.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 8.9 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 4 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ENJOYING B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 11 | 44.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 5 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 4 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | COPARTNER ELITES CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SO WE JOY H/XB/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 3 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | BOURBONAIRE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 7.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MASTER DELIGHT B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 27.0% | 3.71 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | MR ASCENDENCY | 17.0% | 5.88 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | BOURBONAIRE | 10.5% | 9.50 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | SO WE JOY | 9.7% | 10.33 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | COPARTNER ELITES | 8.3% | 12.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | MASTER DELIGHT | 6.2% | 16.13 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.2% | 19.31 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.2% | 24.08 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | CHARITY GO | 3.7% | 26.80 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | CHARITY GRACE | 3.3% | 30.39 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 2.6% | 38.79 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | ENJOYING | 2.5% | 40.75 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 89.5
PLACE
1 16.5
4 64
7 29
QUINELLA
1,7 178.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 144.5
1,7 74
4,7 259
FORECAST
7,1 478
TIERCE
7,1,4 4,811
TRIO
1,4,7 871
FIRST 4
1,4,7,10 2,477
QUARTET
7,1,4,10 54,542
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24.5
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 11
1/7 266.5