Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.00
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Wire to wire B 1.34.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor 9 8.9 N
2 0 MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly B Z Purton · F C Lor 1 3.8 N
3 0 CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V M F Poon · F C Lor 2 23.0 1-1/4
4 0 CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B L Hewitson · C S Shum 7 10.0 1-3/4
5 0 ENJOYING B/TT C L Chau · W Y So 11 44.0 2-1/2
6 0 CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR Y L Chung · C S Shum 5 27.0 2-1/2
7 0 CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 4 31.0 3-1/4
8 0 COPARTNER ELITES CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 8 5.9 3-1/2
9 0 SO WE JOY H/XB/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang 3 13.0 4
10 0 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP V Borges · P F Yiu 10 5.9 5-3/4
11 0 BOURBONAIRE H A Badel · J Size 12 7.5 6-3/4
12 0 MASTER DELIGHT B L Currie · J Size 6 14.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with MONEY CATCHER second and CELESTIAL POWER third. The winner led throughout. The 3.8 favourite MONEY CATCHER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S—2. MONEY CATCHER+0.05L3. CELESTIAL POWER+1.25L4. CHARITY GRACE+1.75L5. ENJOYING+2.5L6. CHARITY GO+2.5L7. CALIFORNIA TEN+3.25L8. COPARTNER ELITES+3.5L9. SO WE JOY+4L10. MR ASCENDENCY+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick MONEY CATCHER (27.0%) finished 2nd — the winner ALL FOR ST PAUL'S was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MONEY CATCHER 27.0% 3.71 2
2 0 MR ASCENDENCY 17.0% 5.88 10
3 0 BOURBONAIRE 10.5% 9.50 11
4 0 SO WE JOY 9.7% 10.33 9
5 0 COPARTNER ELITES 8.3% 12.10 8
6 0 MASTER DELIGHT 6.2% 16.13 12
7 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 5.2% 19.31 1
8 0 CELESTIAL POWER 4.2% 24.08 3
9 0 CHARITY GO 3.7% 26.80 6
10 0 CHARITY GRACE 3.3% 30.39 4
11 0 CALIFORNIA TEN 2.6% 38.79 7
12 0 ENJOYING 2.5% 40.75 5
MONEY CATCHERMR ASCENDENCYBOURBONAIRESO WE JOYCOPARTNER ELITESMASTER DELIGHTALL FOR ST PAUL'S — wonCELESTIAL POWERCHARITY GOCHARITY GRACECALIFORNIA TENENJOYING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 89.5

PLACE

1 16.5

4 64

7 29

QUINELLA

1,7 178.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 144.5

1,7 74

4,7 259

FORECAST

7,1 478

TIERCE

7,1,4 4,811

TRIO

1,4,7 871

FIRST 4

1,4,7,10 2,477

QUARTET

7,1,4,10 54,542

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 24.5

8TH DOUBLE

1/1 11

1/7 266.5