Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. BIG ME, ridden by L Currie and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with FLYING HIGH second and CHEVAL VALIANT third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BIG ME TT1 0.56.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 6 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE ONE H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | GLENEALY GENERALS XB/B2 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL CP-/B1/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | VANTASTIC CHOICE A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 7 | 7.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BELL OF HAPPINESS B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 114.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PERFECT ROCK K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 59.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 29.1% | 3.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | UNITED WE STAND | 12.1% | 8.28 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | NOBLE ONE | 9.0% | 11.12 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | FLYING HIGH | 8.7% | 11.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 8.0% | 12.48 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL | 7.9% | 12.73 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 7.4% | 13.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | BIG ME | 5.2% | 19.22 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 5.0% | 20.09 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | PERFECT ROCK | 3.4% | 29.35 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 3.2% | 31.57 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | BELL OF HAPPINESS | 1.0% | 95.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 28.5
PLACE
2 20
5 14
11 24
QUINELLA
5,11 117
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 41
2,11 67.5
5,11 47.5
FORECAST
5,11 215
TIERCE
5,11,2 789
TRIO
2,5,11 176
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 283
QUARTET
5,11,2,4 4,459
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/5 884
7/11 205.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 20
A3 —