Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. OWNERS' STAR, ridden by V Borges and trained by W Y So, won by N, with THIS IS CHARISMA second and SUPERB DADDY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite THIS IS CHARISMA finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B 1.47.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 3.1 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 1 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly PC/XB C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | TURF BRILLIANT B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 4.4 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 6 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | EL JEFE Closed strongly A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNING STEED Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MISTER MONTE B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 9 | 8.7 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WAH MAY LUCK Led early B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 27.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT SR/B2/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 10 | 20.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 29.2% | 3.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS | 12.6% | 7.92 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR | 10.6% | 9.43 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | TURF BRILLIANT | 9.2% | 10.89 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPERB DADDY | 8.1% | 12.31 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | EL JEFE | 7.9% | 12.70 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNING STEED | 6.5% | 15.47 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | MISTER MONTE | 5.1% | 19.51 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | WAH MAY LUCK | 4.3% | 23.25 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 4.0% | 24.75 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 2.5% | 40.20 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 147.5
PLACE
7 40
9 42
10 13.5
QUINELLA
7,10 209
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 249.5
7,10 65
9,10 69.5
FORECAST
7,10 598
TIERCE
7,10,9 5,256
TRIO
7,9,10 688
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 1,056
QUARTET
7,10,9,4 27,845
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 31