跑馬地 · 2022-11-16 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-11-16跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、F C Lor訓練的EXCELLENT PEERS勝出，贏出3/4。NAMJONG SINGS獲得亞軍；HAPPY SHARING獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門BEAUTY GLORY跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB 1.09.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY SHARING TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 2 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | RED LION A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 127.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | STORMTROUPER E/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | MASTER TORNADO K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL H/XB L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 6 | 7.3 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER DOBBIN B J McNeil · A T Millard | J McNeil | A T Millard | 9 | 57.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 17.7% | 5.66 | 10 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY SHARING | 17.0% | 5.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 16.6% | 6.02 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 9.9% | 10.13 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 8.4% | 11.95 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS | 7.3% | 13.62 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 7.0% | 14.35 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | RED LION | 6.0% | 16.73 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | STORMTROUPER | 3.6% | 27.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER DOBBIN | 3.2% | 30.95 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | MASTER TORNADO | 1.8% | 55.63 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED | 1.6% | 64.50 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 44.5
PLACE
3 42
4 16
6 18
QUINELLA
3,4 285
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 77.5
3,6 121
4,6 43.5
FORECAST
4,3 377
TIERCE
4,3,6 2,046
TRIO
3,4,6 515
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 3,467
QUARTET
4,3,6,5 51,580
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/3,4,6 6,452
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5
6TH DOUBLE
7/3 204
7/4 209
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,11/2,3,7/3,4,6 2,430,807
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,11/2,3,7/Any Combination 9,437