跑馬地 · 2022-11-16 · 20:47
第 5場
2022-11-16跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由S De Sousa策騎、F C Lor訓練的SAVVY CHIC勝出，贏出1-1/4。COLONEL獲得亞軍；HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門GOLD GOLD BABY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SAVVY CHIC TT 1.09.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 6 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | COLONEL J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 4.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 2.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | NORDIC COMBINED B L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 7 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | TO INFINITY B1/TT1 C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 3 | 61.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS CP/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | OUR CREED V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | H Z TOURBILLON TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 10 | 8.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER MAGIC L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | SIX BEST FRIENDS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 64.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | FAMILY STRENGTH B1/TT1 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 104.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 31.8% | 3.14 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 12.8% | 7.81 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | H Z TOURBILLON | 12.6% | 7.92 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | COLONEL | 7.2% | 13.94 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SAVVY CHIC | 7.0% | 14.22 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS | 6.8% | 14.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | FAMILY STRENGTH | 6.1% | 16.48 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER MAGIC | 4.7% | 21.08 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | NORDIC COMBINED | 4.3% | 23.33 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | OUR CREED | 3.6% | 27.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 1.7% | 59.28 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | TO INFINITY | 1.4% | 73.65 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 147
PLACE
4 15.5
5 37.5
11 30
QUINELLA
5,11 641.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 91.5
4,11 83.5
5,11 182.5
FORECAST
5,11 1,710
TIERCE
5,11,4 8,245
TRIO
4,5,11 856
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 574
QUARTET
5,11,4,2 29,115
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,12/4,5,11 122,008
3 PICK 1
A2 43.5
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/5 824
7/11 128