Happy Valley · 2022-11-16 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT PEERS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with NAMJONG SINGS second and HAPPY SHARING third. The 2.8 favourite BEAUTY GLORY finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB 1.09.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY SHARING TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 2 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | RED LION A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 127.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | STORMTROUPER E/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | MASTER TORNADO K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 79.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL H/XB L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 6 | 7.3 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER DOBBIN B J McNeil · A T Millard | J McNeil | A T Millard | 9 | 57.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 17.7% | 5.66 | 10 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY SHARING | 17.0% | 5.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 16.6% | 6.02 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 9.9% | 10.13 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 8.4% | 11.95 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS | 7.3% | 13.62 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 7.0% | 14.35 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | RED LION | 6.0% | 16.73 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | STORMTROUPER | 3.6% | 27.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER DOBBIN | 3.2% | 30.95 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | MASTER TORNADO | 1.8% | 55.63 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED | 1.6% | 64.50 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 44.5
PLACE
3 42
4 16
6 18
QUINELLA
3,4 285
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 77.5
3,6 121
4,6 43.5
FORECAST
4,3 377
TIERCE
4,3,6 2,046
TRIO
3,4,6 515
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 3,467
QUARTET
4,3,6,5 51,580
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/3,4,6 6,452
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5
6TH DOUBLE
7/3 204
7/4 209
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,11/2,3,7/3,4,6 2,430,807
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,11/2,3,7/Any Combination 9,437