Happy Valley · 2022-11-16 · 19:47
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-16 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LESLIE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/4, with KUNG FU TEA second and OUR CLASS ACT third. The 3.9 favourite OUR CLASS ACT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LESLIE B 1.09.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | KUNG FU TEA B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | OUR CLASS ACT H S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 4 | 3.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | HERO STAR TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 4.6 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | JUNEAU FLASH V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | ABOVE ALL H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER JOY P H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 93.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SMILING MOON CP1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 119.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | JOY IN JOY A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 7.1 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 11 | YOUNG HORIZON L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | OUR CLASS ACT | 20.0% | 4.99 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | HERO STAR | 16.1% | 6.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | LESLIE | 13.7% | 7.30 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 9.8% | 10.15 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | FLAMING PASSION | 9.6% | 10.40 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | JOY IN JOY | 9.3% | 10.72 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | KUNG FU TEA | 8.9% | 11.24 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | ABOVE ALL | 5.0% | 20.06 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | JUNEAU FLASH | 3.9% | 25.84 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER JOY | 2.6% | 38.84 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | SMILING MOON | 1.1% | 91.49 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 57
PLACE
3 20
8 15.5
10 36.5
QUINELLA
3,10 333
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 48
3,10 95.5
8,10 96.5
FORECAST
3,10 706
TIERCE
3,10,8 4,374
TRIO
3,8,10 569
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 444
QUARTET
3,10,8,4 13,019
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/3 225
1/10 251.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 20.5
A3 —