Happy Valley · 2022-11-16 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V 1.09.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 8.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | U W BROTHER S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.2 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 6 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RAGING BLAZE P-/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 12 | 50.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | LE PLUS VITE XB/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 2 | 42.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B- H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO B-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 9.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 7 | 29.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-16 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPILY FRIENDS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with U W BROTHER second and HEARTY WISH third. The 3.2 favourite U W BROTHER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | U W BROTHER | 22.0% | 4.55 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HEARTY WISH | 15.3% | 6.55 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | RAGING BLAZE | 12.8% | 7.81 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 10.5% | 9.51 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 7.6% | 13.17 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | EUROMISSILE | 7.4% | 13.57 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 5.8% | 17.15 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 5.7% | 17.53 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS | 5.2% | 19.23 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO | 3.1% | 32.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 2.8% | 36.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | LE PLUS VITE | 1.9% | 52.15 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 87
PLACE
3 27
5 16.5
9 17
QUINELLA
3,9 124.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 73
3,9 58
5,9 39.5
FORECAST
3,9 260
TIERCE
3,9,5 1,241
TRIO
3,5,9 201
FIRST 4
3,5,6,9 285
QUARTET
3,9,5,6 8,042
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 26.5