Happy Valley · 2022-11-16 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 5 | 60.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT J McNeil · C S Shum | J McNeil | C S Shum | 4 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 12 | 27.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | E LEGEND S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly CP-/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 50.0 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC Led early TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 7 | 41.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 37.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly CP-/H-/B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | 5.3 | 3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-16 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DRAGON, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with PEGASUS GENERAL second and COMET SPLENDIDO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite COMET SPLENDIDO finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 19.5% | 5.13 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | E LEGEND | 17.1% | 5.86 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES | 15.0% | 6.65 | — |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON | 7.8% | 12.75 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 7.7% | 13.06 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 6.7% | 14.91 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT | 3.7% | 26.91 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 3.6% | 27.99 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC | 3.4% | 29.49 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 3.4% | 29.72 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 2.9% | 34.13 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 128
PLACE
5 15
9 35
11 107
QUINELLA
9,11 2,338
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 81.5
5,11 265
9,11 580.5
FORECAST
9,11 5,727
TIERCE
9,11,5 29,163
TRIO
5,9,11 2,595
FIRST 4
5,6,9,11 4,000
QUARTET
9,11,5,6 199,136
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 20
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,9/5,9,11 540,318
8TH DOUBLE
8/9 538.5
8/11 611
SIX UP
7/5/7/4/8/9 2,915,162
7,9/5,11/3,7/3,4/8,9/9,11 80,535
1 [C Y Ho] —
1 [F C Lor], 8 [C Fownes] —
TREBLE
4/8/9 2,061
4/8/11 2,770