Happy Valley · 2022-11-16 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H 1.38.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 4.9 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.8 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly P- L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 82.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 55.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 11 | 31.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 7 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | THE ROCK B L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FA FA TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-16 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PACKING AWARD, ridden by M F Poon and trained by L Ho, won by HD, with MR ASCENDENCY second and SAVAQUIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite THE IRISHMAN finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FA FA | 17.6% | 5.68 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 14.8% | 6.73 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 13.0% | 7.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 11.4% | 8.78 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 9.1% | 11.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | THE ROCK | 6.6% | 15.06 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 6.5% | 15.37 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 5.5% | 18.33 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 5.1% | 19.51 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 4.7% | 21.29 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | SO WE JOY | 3.4% | 29.56 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.3% | 44.11 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 49
PLACE
6 43
8 18
9 21.5
QUINELLA
8,9 161.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 184.5
6,9 242.5
8,9 63
FORECAST
8,9 288
TIERCE
8,9,6 5,075
TRIO
6,8,9 1,525
FIRST 4
6,8,9,10 12,361
QUARTET
8,9,6,10 141,234
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 26.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/8 151.5
4/9 50.5