跑馬地 · 2022-11-23 · 21:16
第 5場
2022-11-23跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、C S Shum訓練的SUNNY DELIGHT勝出，贏出1-3/4。WIN WIN FIGHTER獲得亞軍；SPICY GRILL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門RIGHT AS RAIN跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | WIN WIN FIGHTER 後段發力 H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SPICY GRILL 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 12 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 6 | 4.4 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR 早段領放 B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 10 | 6.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CHARIZARD B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 9.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | VIVA POPCORN 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN CP/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 19.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 31.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 7 | GREAT BRILLIANT B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 11 | 123.0 | 29 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 21.5% | 4.65 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 16.1% | 6.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CHARIZARD | 11.4% | 8.74 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 9.0% | 11.10 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION | 7.9% | 12.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | TAILOR MADE | 7.5% | 13.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | VIVA POPCORN | 6.2% | 16.11 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 6.2% | 16.22 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | SPICY GRILL | 4.6% | 21.79 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 4.5% | 22.03 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 4.3% | 23.47 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 134.44 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 50.5
PLACE
1 57
2 21
10 19
QUINELLA
2,10 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 212
1,10 204
2,10 61.5
FORECAST
10,2 377
TIERCE
10,2,1 6,085
TRIO
1,2,10 1,149
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 3,074
QUARTET
10,2,1,6 59,593
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 29.5
5/10 195.5