Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 21:16
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUNNY DELIGHT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-3/4, with WIN WIN FIGHTER second and SPICY GRILL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 12 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 6 | 4.4 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR Led early B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 10 | 6.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CHARIZARD B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 9.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN CP/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 19.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 31.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 7 | GREAT BRILLIANT B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 11 | 123.0 | 29 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 21.5% | 4.65 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 16.1% | 6.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CHARIZARD | 11.4% | 8.74 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 9.0% | 11.10 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | LIFELINE VISION | 7.9% | 12.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | TAILOR MADE | 7.5% | 13.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | VIVA POPCORN | 6.2% | 16.11 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 6.2% | 16.22 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | SPICY GRILL | 4.6% | 21.79 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 4.5% | 22.03 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 4.3% | 23.47 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 134.44 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 50.5
PLACE
1 57
2 21
10 19
QUINELLA
2,10 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 212
1,10 204
2,10 61.5
FORECAST
10,2 377
TIERCE
10,2,1 6,085
TRIO
1,2,10 1,149
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 3,074
QUARTET
10,2,1,6 59,593
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 29.5
5/10 195.5