Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 20:16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B 1.40.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FIRE BALL H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG TWO Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CONCERTO Closed strongly TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 11 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | VUKAN B/XB/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 4 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS B/TT J McNeil · K L Man | J McNeil | K L Man | 1 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 4.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SEATOSKY CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SMOOTHIES B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 19.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED BRICK FIGHTER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with HAPPY ANGEL second and LUCKY GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SPARKY STAR finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 20.2% | 4.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 14.4% | 6.95 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BAEBAE TSOI | 11.9% | 8.43 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 9.1% | 10.94 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 9.1% | 10.95 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG TWO | 8.9% | 11.21 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | VUKAN | 8.3% | 12.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 8.0% | 12.49 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | CONCERTO | 4.1% | 24.23 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SEATOSKY | 3.7% | 26.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 2.2% | 45.81 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 64
PLACE
1 42.5
4 20.5
5 27.5
QUINELLA
4,5 248
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 143.5
1,5 174
4,5 88.5
FORECAST
4,5 533
TIERCE
4,5,1 7,241
TRIO
1,4,5 1,174
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 882
QUARTET
4,5,1,3 24,872
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/4 2,742.5
3/5 643.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 24