Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 19:46
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THETA HEDGE Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.40.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK Led early B/TT2 H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 4 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 5 | 2.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly E/P M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 12 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 8 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly H-/B1/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 7 | 89.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | COMMON ROOM TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 1 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 85.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 4.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MISTER MONTE CP K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 2 | 35.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. THETA HEDGE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with WAH MAY LUCK second and MEDIC ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite MEDIC ELITE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 34.0% | 2.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 17.4% | 5.75 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 8.1% | 12.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 7.1% | 14.02 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 6.5% | 15.34 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 6.2% | 16.17 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 5.7% | 17.63 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 4.3% | 23.25 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 3.7% | 27.03 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 3.4% | 29.46 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | COMMON ROOM | 2.2% | 45.47 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 1.5% | 68.95 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 232
PLACE
3 50.5
9 12
12 57
QUINELLA
3,12 2,654.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 82.5
3,12 619
9,12 88
FORECAST
3,12 8,369
TIERCE
3,12,9 15,718
TRIO
3,9,12 1,129
FIRST 4
3,8,9,12 3,954
QUARTET
3,12,9,8 193,747
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/3 1,954
2/12 342
3 PICK 1
A3 40.5
A1 —
A2 —