Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 21:46
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. POWER KOEPP, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by J Size, won by N, with STAR BRITE second and JUMBO LEGEND third. The 2.8 favourite JUMBO LEGEND finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | POWER KOEPP E 1.09.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 3 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | STAR BRITE CP/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 19.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 2.8 | N |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY SHARING CP1/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 9 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 3.4 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER VINCE XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SATIRICAL GLORY L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 93.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 7.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TELECOM SPIRIT B R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 6 | 114.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT | 23.2% | 4.31 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 17.6% | 5.69 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND | 15.8% | 6.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY SHARING | 13.0% | 7.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | STAR BRITE | 11.5% | 8.67 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 8.0% | 12.46 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | POWER KOEPP | 6.2% | 16.25 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER VINCE | 3.0% | 33.11 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 0.9% | 106.49 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 0.7% | 137.04 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 105
PLACE
1 40
2 27.5
9 13
QUINELLA
1,2 751.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 184.5
1,9 74
2,9 48
FORECAST
2,1 1,064
TIERCE
2,1,9 4,346
TRIO
1,2,9 601
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 491
QUARTET
2,1,9,5 17,578
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/1,2,9 63,611
3 PICK 1
A3 49
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/1 235.5
10/2 627
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,5/1,2,10/1,2,9 955,324
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,5/1,2,10/Any Combination 1,347