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Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 21:46

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C 9 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 STAR BRITE CP/TT H Bowman · K W Lui 8 19.0 N
3 0 JUMBO LEGEND H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 5 2.8 N
4 0 HAPPY SHARING CP1/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng 9 9.4 3/4
5 0 SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall 7 3.4 1
6 0 SUPER VINCE XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 1 26.0 1-3/4
7 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM V Borges · J Size 4 7.9 1-3/4
8 0 SATIRICAL GLORY L Currie · D A Hayes 10 93.0 2-1/4
9 0 ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 2 7.9 6-3/4
10 0 TELECOM SPIRIT B R Maia · Y S Tsui 6 114.0 7-3/4
— 0 POWER KOEPP E S De Sousa · J Size — 10.0 N

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STAR BRITE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with JUMBO LEGEND second and HAPPY SHARING third. The 2.8 favourite JUMBO LEGEND finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. STAR BRITE+0.05L3. JUMBO LEGEND+0.05L4. HAPPY SHARING+0.75L5. SOLID IMPACT+1L6. SUPER VINCE+1.75L7. BUNDLE OF CHARM+1.75L8. SATIRICAL GLORY+2.25L9. ARMOUR EAGLE+6.75L10. TELECOM SPIRIT+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SOLID IMPACT 23.2% 4.31 5
2 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM 17.6% 5.69 7
3 0 JUMBO LEGEND 15.8% 6.33 3
4 0 HAPPY SHARING 13.0% 7.69 4
5 0 STAR BRITE 11.5% 8.67 2
6 0 ARMOUR EAGLE 8.0% 12.46 9
7 0 POWER KOEPP 6.2% 16.25 —
8 0 SUPER VINCE 3.0% 33.11 6
9 0 SATIRICAL GLORY 0.9% 106.49 8
10 0 TELECOM SPIRIT 0.7% 137.04 10
SOLID IMPACTBUNDLE OF CHARMJUMBO LEGENDHAPPY SHARINGSTAR BRITEARMOUR EAGLEPOWER KOEPPSUPER VINCESATIRICAL GLORYTELECOM SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 105

PLACE

1 40

2 27.5

9 13

QUINELLA

1,2 751.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 184.5

1,9 74

2,9 48

FORECAST

2,1 1,064

TIERCE

2,1,9 4,346

TRIO

1,2,9 601

FIRST 4

1,2,5,9 491

QUARTET

2,1,9,5 17,578

All pools (5 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,10/1,2,9 63,611

3 PICK 1

A3 49

A1 —

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

10/1 235.5

10/2 627

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,5/1,2,10/1,2,9 955,324

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,5/1,2,10/Any Combination 1,347