Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 22:59
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE Closed strongly E/TT 1.39.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 1 | 33.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly CP1 J McNeil · C Fownes | J McNeil | C Fownes | 8 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EN POINTE CP C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 4 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEN UNITY Closed strongly B/TT1 M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DR WINNING P-/TT S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE B-/XB/CP1/TT C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 3 | 61.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. EXCEPTIONAL NICE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with RED MAJESTY second and SPIRITED EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite ZONE D finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZONE D | 18.6% | 5.38 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 12.2% | 8.23 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 11.4% | 8.74 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 9.8% | 10.22 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 9.6% | 10.44 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | EN POINTE | 8.9% | 11.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | DR WINNING | 7.9% | 12.74 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX | 7.8% | 12.85 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 4.2% | 23.70 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | KEEN UNITY | 3.8% | 26.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 3.2% | 30.88 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT | 2.7% | 36.43 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 86
PLACE
1 25.5
2 71.5
10 25
QUINELLA
2,10 1,218
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 264.5
1,10 116.5
2,10 346.5
FORECAST
10,2 1,856
TIERCE
10,2,1 21,709
TRIO
1,2,10 2,661
FIRST 4
1,2,9,10 4,680
QUARTET
10,2,1,9 137,967
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 34
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
10,12>1,7/1,2,10 155,916
7TH DOUBLE
1,7/2 117.5
1,7/10 434.5
SIX UP
4,5/3,5/2,10/1,2/1,7,10/2,10 24,743
4/5/10/2/1,7/10 830,627
7 [H Bowman] —
6 [K W Lui] —
TREBLE
2/1,7/2 1,507
2/1,7/10 5,876