Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 19:16
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING ROCKY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with CIRCUIT SEVEN second and HANDSOME REBEL third. The 2.0 favourite HANDSOME REBEL finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY 0.56.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 5.6 | N |
| 2 | 6 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B-/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 5 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | FARIBAULT XB-/B1 H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE H/SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 9 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | TRUST ME B/H C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SPEEDY FORTUNE S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 6 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | REGENT GLORY CP1 M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SOO FRESH TT1 C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 12 | 121.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN V-/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 3 | 47.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN J McNeil · Y S Tsui | J McNeil | Y S Tsui | 4 | 35.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | KOWLOON EAST STAR R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY | 15.4% | 6.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 15.2% | 6.58 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | REGENT GLORY | 14.2% | 7.06 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL | 9.2% | 10.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 8.2% | 12.12 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | SOO FRESH | 7.1% | 14.09 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | FARIBAULT | 6.7% | 14.94 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 6.0% | 16.59 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 5.9% | 16.99 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 5.4% | 18.52 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | TRUST ME | 5.4% | 18.58 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 1.3% | 78.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 56
PLACE
2 18.5
6 28.5
11 12
QUINELLA
2,6 366.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 116
2,11 30
6,11 44
FORECAST
2,6 614
TIERCE
2,6,11 2,002
TRIO
2,6,11 211
FIRST 4
2,6,8,11 396
QUARTET
2,6,11,8 11,314
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —