Happy Valley · 2022-11-23 · 22:24
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NORDIC DRAGON TT1 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 2.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 6.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER CP/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HERCULES B/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 7 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | E RAINBOW L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS V H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 9 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SWEET DIAMOND V1/TT J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 11 | 67.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PLENTY PLENTY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 103.0 | 40-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BRAVE STAR S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | — | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FUN N GLORY M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NORDIC DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C S Shum, won by 3-1/4, with MELBOURNE HALL second and SHINING FORTUNE third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE | 17.4% | 5.76 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | E RAINBOW | 15.7% | 6.37 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | BRAVE STAR | 12.1% | 8.26 | — |
| 4 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 11.5% | 8.68 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | HERCULES | 8.7% | 11.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER | 7.9% | 12.65 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 6.3% | 15.82 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 6.1% | 16.40 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | PLENTY PLENTY | 5.9% | 16.88 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | NORDIC DRAGON | 5.0% | 20.03 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | SWEET DIAMOND | 3.4% | 29.32 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 25.5
PLACE
7 14.5
10 31.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
7,10 190
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 70.5
7,12 39
10,12 108
FORECAST
7,10 288
TIERCE
7,10,12 1,409
TRIO
7,10,12 279
FIRST 4
7,9,10,12 665
QUARTET
7,10,12,9 10,585
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/1,7 349.5
2/10 242