跑馬地 · 2022-12-14 · 19:46
第 3場
2022-12-14跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的ACT OF FAITH勝出，贏出1-1/2。YELLOWFIN獲得亞軍；EXUBERANT獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門EXUBERANT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH 1.09.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | YELLOWFIN TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | EXUBERANT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 3 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP2 K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | DRAGON KINGDOM CP- M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | FIGHTING STAR B/XB/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 10 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SHADOW RUNNER CP/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B1/H1 S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 11 | 114.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION B-/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | EASY LIFE B/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 12 | 177.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 20.7% | 4.83 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | YELLOWFIN | 18.8% | 5.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL | 14.0% | 7.14 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH | 9.9% | 10.12 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | EXUBERANT | 9.3% | 10.73 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SHADOW RUNNER | 7.8% | 12.79 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.8% | 17.29 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | FIGHTING STAR | 3.8% | 26.03 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 3.6% | 27.41 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 2.7% | 37.07 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 2.3% | 43.06 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | EASY LIFE | 1.2% | 82.80 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 48
PLACE
1 15
2 18.5
5 18.5
QUINELLA
2,5 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 36.5
1,5 38
2,5 64.5
FORECAST
2,5 419
TIERCE
2,5,1 1,169
TRIO
1,2,5 157
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 175
QUARTET
2,5,1,7 5,087
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 545
7/5 30
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25
A2 —