跑馬地 · 2022-12-14 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-12-14跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的KING ECCELLENTE勝出，贏出1/2。SAVVY CHIC獲得亞軍；HERO STAR獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門SAVVY CHIC跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | KING ECCELLENTE SR-/H/XB/CP1 1.09.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SAVVY CHIC TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 1 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | HERO STAR TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | D STAR B1/H1/TT1 L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 64.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | GALLANT HERO BO/XB/TT- L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 4 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LYRICAL MOTION CP-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 8 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | ISLAND SHINE B2/TT J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | AUGUST MOON B/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 11 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 71.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER JOY P K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 93.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | OUR CLASS ACT H H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SAVVY CHIC | 21.1% | 4.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | HERO STAR | 16.0% | 6.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | KING ECCELLENTE | 13.1% | 7.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | ISLAND SHINE | 8.5% | 11.73 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 8.3% | 12.11 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | GALLANT HERO | 7.2% | 13.80 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | OUR CLASS ACT | 7.1% | 14.09 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | LYRICAL MOTION | 6.5% | 15.29 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | D STAR | 5.1% | 19.60 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | AUGUST MOON | 3.0% | 32.98 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON | 2.2% | 45.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER JOY | 1.9% | 53.65 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 118.5
PLACE
1 12
4 19
12 36.5
QUINELLA
1,12 207
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 34.5
1,12 78
4,12 108.5
FORECAST
12,1 771
TIERCE
12,1,4 3,395
TRIO
1,4,12 266
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 2,803
QUARTET
12,1,4,6 82,585
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,12/1,4,12 44,739
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 35.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/1 14
12/12 921