跑馬地 · 2022-12-14 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-12-14跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA DEEPLY勝出，贏出1-1/4。SPECIAL M獲得亞軍；GORGEOUS VITALITY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT 0.56.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | SPECIAL M PC/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GORGEOUS VITALITY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WIND N GRASS B/XB/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 4 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT H T Mo · P C Ng | H T Mo | P C Ng | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | SERGEANT PEPPER M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CIRCUIT TEN H1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB1 L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 6 | 69.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CLASSIC POSH C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 8 | 102.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | MAGIC TORONADO K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 91.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 28.6% | 3.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 14.1% | 7.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | SPECIAL M | 11.6% | 8.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT TEN | 9.7% | 10.30 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 9.0% | 11.07 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 6.9% | 14.48 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | WIND N GRASS | 5.4% | 18.51 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | HARMONY FIRE | 5.3% | 18.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER COMMANDER | 3.8% | 26.41 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | CLASSIC POSH | 2.4% | 41.06 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 2.2% | 44.72 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | MAGIC TORONADO | 1.0% | 104.62 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 30
PLACE
2 15
3 22
4 15.5
QUINELLA
2,4 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 55
2,4 27
3,4 48.5
FORECAST
4,2 102
TIERCE
4,2,3 394
TRIO
2,3,4 113
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 197
QUARTET
4,2,3,1 1,861
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/2,3,4 1,742
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/2 29
9/4 75
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,12/4,5,9/2,3,4 104,408
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,12/4,5,9/Any Combination 776