沙田 · 2023-01-01 · 12:31
第 1場
2023-01-01沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、W Y So訓練的JIANGXI STAMINA勝出，贏出2-3/4。DAZZLING FELLOW獲得亞軍；RUN RUN GOOD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門EMBARKED跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | DAZZLING FELLOW 後段發力 XB/B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | RUN RUN GOOD 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD 後段發力 L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 7 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | EMBARKED 後段發力 B/XB/TT S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 1 | 3.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY 後段發力 A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 10 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | QUORUM 後段發力 B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 8 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | BUDDY SPIRIT 後段發力 P-/B2 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 38.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | U W BROTHER H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 14 | 6.3 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | KARUIZAWA B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 9 | 197.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | FELIX THE KING 後段發力 CP/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 39.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SURE WINNER 早段領放 B-/V1/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 143.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | DIAMOND SOARS H/P1/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 11.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FORTUNE TURBO B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 64.0 | 38 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 16.5% | 6.06 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | EMBARKED | 14.1% | 7.08 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | RUN RUN GOOD | 13.1% | 7.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 12.4% | 8.10 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | DIAMOND SOARS | 11.6% | 8.61 | 13 |
| 6 | 7 | U W BROTHER | 7.6% | 13.18 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 6.2% | 16.10 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 5.5% | 18.32 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | QUORUM | 3.5% | 28.94 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 2.5% | 39.67 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | SURE WINNER | 2.5% | 40.40 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | FELIX THE KING | 2.4% | 41.51 | 11 |
| 13 | 5 | FORTUNE TURBO | 1.2% | 80.92 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | KARUIZAWA | 0.9% | 106.22 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 48.5
PLACE
1 18.5
3 16
13 37
QUINELLA
1,3 101.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41.5
1,13 89
3,13 79.5
FORECAST
3,1 244
TIERCE
3,1,13 1,666
TRIO
1,3,13 292
FIRST 4
1,3,10,13 1,252
QUARTET
3,1,13,10 18,061
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 21
A3 —
A2 —