沙田 · 2023-01-01 · 14:31
第 5場
2023-01-01沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的CHILLI BABA勝出，贏出NOSE。INNOCONSTRUCTION獲得亞軍；FLYING HIGH獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHILLI BABA B1 0.57.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 14 | 2.2 | NOSE |
| 2 | 6 | INNOCONSTRUCTION TT1 H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 4 | 105.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING HIGH TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 1 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SPARKLING KNIGHT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 13 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | TIMESTORM XB/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NUNCHUKS TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 49.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 9 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT H C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 3 | 124.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | SOARING PENGSHAN TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT CP1 H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | RATTAN WORLD B1/XB1/TT1 S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 11 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 7.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | BEAT HOLLOW H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 18.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL | 25.2% | 3.97 | 13 |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING HIGH | 14.3% | 6.98 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | RATTAN WORLD | 9.0% | 11.07 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | SOARING PENGSHAN | 7.6% | 13.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 7.3% | 13.73 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | CHILLI BABA | 6.9% | 14.48 | 1 |
| 7 | 14 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.8% | 14.65 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.71 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | TIMESTORM | 4.3% | 23.14 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | NUNCHUKS | 3.5% | 28.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | BEAT HOLLOW | 2.8% | 35.09 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | INNOCONSTRUCTION | 2.5% | 39.93 | 2 |
| 13 | 1 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 2.4% | 41.77 | 4 |
| 14 | 12 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 1.9% | 52.63 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 22.5
PLACE
3 46
5 13.5
6 206.5
QUINELLA
5,6 1,106.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 83.5
3,6 1,164
5,6 376
FORECAST
5,6 1,053
TIERCE
5,6,3 11,622
TRIO
3,5,6 3,895
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 3,430
QUARTET
5,6,3,1 68,591
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/3,5,6 43,621
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/5 57
6/6 371