沙田 · 2023-01-01 · 13:01
第 2場
2023-01-01沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的DIVINE ERA勝出，贏出4-1/2。SMART FOLKS獲得亞軍；FORTUNE MARBO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DIVINE ERA 後段發力 TT 1.22.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 2.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART FOLKS 早段領放 B/SR1 L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | FORTUNE MARBO 後段發力 TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | TEAM GOODLUCK 後段發力 CP/TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | APEX TOP B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 13 | 7.7 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | TSUEN WAN GLORY 後段發力 H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 40.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | SPICY SKEWER CP-/B1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | COMMON ROOM 後段發力 TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 14 | 54.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | HO HO JUNIOR B- C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 37.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 112.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 7 | 8.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD E/XB/B1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 129.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | LE PLUS VITE XB/TT S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 5 | 6.1 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | THIS IS GUTS CP1/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 33.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BRAVE POWER H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DIVINE ERA | 21.6% | 4.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | LE PLUS VITE | 17.2% | 5.81 | 13 |
| 3 | 6 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 8.6% | 11.63 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | APEX TOP | 8.5% | 11.74 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | FORTUNE MARBO | 6.3% | 15.97 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.1% | 16.44 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | SMART FOLKS | 5.5% | 18.32 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER | 5.4% | 18.67 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | COMMON ROOM | 4.3% | 23.21 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | THIS IS GUTS | 4.3% | 23.36 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 3.8% | 26.22 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | SPICY SKEWER | 3.7% | 27.04 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | HO HO JUNIOR | 2.9% | 34.90 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 1.9% | 51.72 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 27.5
PLACE
4 15
12 30
14 37.5
QUINELLA
4,12 233.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 89
4,14 87
12,14 212
FORECAST
4,12 322
TIERCE
4,12,14 2,989
TRIO
4,12,14 675
FIRST 4
4,6,12,14 1,498
QUARTET
4,12,14,6 20,292
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/4 172.5
3/12 162
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —