跑馬地 · 2023-01-18 · 20:46
第 4場
2023-01-18跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的FLYING ON THE TURF勝出，贏出1。KOKUSHI MUSOU獲得亞軍；CORDYCEPS ONE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT 1.09.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 3 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | FARIBAULT B H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | COLONEL V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER VINCE XB/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | HERCULES B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 9 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | KING OF THE COURT B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON H1/P1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 8 | 9.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | FORTUNE CARRIER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | FARIBAULT | 16.5% | 6.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 10.9% | 9.21 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | COLONEL | 7.1% | 14.04 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER VINCE | 6.7% | 15.01 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 6.4% | 15.64 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 6.4% | 15.68 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED | 6.2% | 16.22 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | KING OF THE COURT | 4.9% | 20.52 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 4.3% | 23.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.8% | 26.47 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | HERCULES | 3.0% | 32.83 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 22.5
PLACE
3 53.5
10 45.5
11 12
QUINELLA
3,11 245
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 363.5
3,11 102.5
10,11 98
FORECAST
11,3 332
TIERCE
11,3,10 3,266
TRIO
3,10,11 1,117
FIRST 4
3,4,10,11 1,609
QUARTET
11,3,10,4 22,257
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/3,10,11 111,350
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18
3RD DOUBLE
5/3 162
5/11 168