跑馬地 · 2023-01-18 · 21:16
第 5場
2023-01-18跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C Fownes訓練的SUGAR SUGAR勝出，贏出N。OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得亞軍；RIGHTEOUS ARION獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門RATTAN KINGDOM跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT 1.10.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 4.6 | N |
| 2 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 2.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE B-/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | CHILL WAY H L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | NOIR RIDER B V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | PROSECCO B/H A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 3 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLAMING PASSION TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 11 | 54.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MR FUN TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 6.4 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | DRAGON STAR XB1 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 68.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 38.1% | 2.63 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | MR FUN | 11.6% | 8.58 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | FLAMING PASSION | 6.9% | 14.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | PROSECCO | 6.8% | 14.64 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 5.0% | 20.02 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 3.5% | 28.49 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | CHILL WAY | 3.4% | 29.42 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.4% | 29.84 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | DRAGON STAR | 3.3% | 30.42 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 3.1% | 32.05 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | NOIR RIDER | 1.8% | 54.45 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 46.5
PLACE
1 15
7 25.5
10 62.5
QUINELLA
1,10 870
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 63.5
1,10 214.5
7,10 251.5
FORECAST
1,10 1,300
TIERCE
1,10,7 6,743
TRIO
1,7,10 1,549
FIRST 4
1,2,7,10 275
QUARTET
1,10,7,2 11,808
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 91
11/10 154