跑馬地 · 2023-02-15 · 19:46
第 3場
2023-02-15跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、C S Shum訓練的G ONE EXCELLENT勝出，贏出N。ATOMIC ENERGY獲得亞軍；CHEVAL VALIANT獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT 0.56.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 5 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | FINGERS CROSSED TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | MODEST GENTLEMAN P1/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 1 | 50.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 10 | 6.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | FARIBAULT B H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 2 | 3.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | NICETOBEMET CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 44.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | GOOD VIEW GLORY R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 58.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 12 | ONE FOR ALL M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 30.0% | 3.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | NICETOBEMET | 19.2% | 5.22 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | FARIBAULT | 10.7% | 9.32 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 8.9% | 11.28 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | FINGERS CROSSED | 7.0% | 14.37 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | HANDSOME REBEL | 6.0% | 16.75 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME | 5.5% | 18.08 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 3.7% | 27.38 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 3.5% | 28.91 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 3.3% | 30.75 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 2.5% | 40.77 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 27.5
PLACE
1 24
5 37
11 14
QUINELLA
5,11 270
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 170.5
1,11 42
5,11 91
FORECAST
11,5 340
TIERCE
11,5,1 1,958
TRIO
1,5,11 517
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 770
QUARTET
11,5,1,10 10,477
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,10/1,5>11,12 23,937
2ND DOUBLE
1/5 86.5
1/11,12 92
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16