跑馬地 · 2023-02-15 · 21:47
第 7場
2023-02-15跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的SON PAK FU勝出，贏出1-3/4。ISLAND SURPRISE獲得亞軍；FLAMING PASSION獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門RIGHTEOUS ARION跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SON PAK FU BO 1.10.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | INSPIRING CITY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 90.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CALL ME TEDDY TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 60.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | VALHALLA B/XB/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 11 | 43.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | BRILLIANT LIFE B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | DASHING GLORY TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 67.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 24.0% | 4.17 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 22.5% | 4.45 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 16.7% | 5.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | SON PAK FU | 10.3% | 9.67 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION | 4.4% | 22.87 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 4.0% | 25.20 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 3.9% | 25.35 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | VALHALLA | 2.9% | 34.84 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | DASHING GLORY | 2.6% | 37.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.3% | 43.98 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | INSPIRING CITY | 1.6% | 63.32 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 114
PLACE
6 32
8 57
10 28.5
QUINELLA
8,10 1,082.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 313
6,10 132.5
8,10 243
FORECAST
10,8 1,616
TIERCE
10,8,6 15,197
TRIO
6,8,10 3,031
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 2,511
QUARTET
10,8,6,7 66,174
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/6,8,10 166,040
6TH DOUBLE
3/8 450.5
3/10 779
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,7,11/3,5,7/Any Combination 86,193