Happy Valley · 2023-02-15 · 21:47
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 90.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CALL ME TEDDY TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 60.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | VALHALLA B/XB/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 11 | 43.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BRILLIANT LIFE B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | DASHING GLORY TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 67.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| — | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | — | 5.7 | 2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ISLAND SURPRISE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with FLAMING PASSION second and RIGHTEOUS ARION third. The 2.6 favourite RIGHTEOUS ARION finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 24.0% | 4.17 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 22.5% | 4.45 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 16.7% | 5.98 | — |
| 4 | 0 | SON PAK FU | 10.3% | 9.67 | — |
| 5 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FLAMING PASSION | 4.4% | 22.87 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 4.0% | 25.20 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 3.9% | 25.35 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | VALHALLA | 2.9% | 34.84 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | DASHING GLORY | 2.6% | 37.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.3% | 43.98 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY | 1.6% | 63.32 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 114
PLACE
6 32
8 57
10 28.5
QUINELLA
8,10 1,082.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 313
6,10 132.5
8,10 243
FORECAST
10,8 1,616
TIERCE
10,8,6 15,197
TRIO
6,8,10 3,031
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 2,511
QUARTET
10,8,6,7 66,174
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/6,8,10 166,040
6TH DOUBLE
3/8 450.5
3/10 779
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,7,11/3,5,7/Any Combination 86,193