Happy Valley · 2023-02-15 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT 1.40.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 8.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS Closed strongly CP Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.2 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON Closed strongly V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 9 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | EMERGING H/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 3 | 70.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WIND N GRASS B/XB/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 4 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | REGENT GLORY M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.9 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SMILING TIME, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with EIGHTEEN PALMS second and PROUD DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite EIGHTEEN PALMS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 39.2% | 2.55 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 10.4% | 9.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 10.4% | 9.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENT GLORY | 6.7% | 14.92 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 6.5% | 15.35 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 6.3% | 15.86 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 5.9% | 17.06 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 5.4% | 18.55 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 3.1% | 32.58 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 2.2% | 45.48 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 2.1% | 46.87 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | EMERGING | 1.8% | 54.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 88
PLACE
3 25.5
5 40
7 11.5
QUINELLA
3,7 110
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 166.5
3,7 45
5,7 85.5
FORECAST
3,7 342
TIERCE
3,7,5 3,041
TRIO
3,5,7 544
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 495
QUARTET
3,7,5,9 16,216
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5
5TH DOUBLE
7/3 699.5
7/7 38.5