Happy Valley · 2023-02-15 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-15 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DIAMOND SOARS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with KOWLOON EAST STAR second and DAY DAY RICH third. The 4.0 favourite SHENRON finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIAMOND SOARS H/P/TT 0.56.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY CP-/XB/V1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SHENRON V-/XB/H2/P2 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 4.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SHANGHAI POWER B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | BOOMING WELL B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 6 | 7.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER CLASS H/P/XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 11 | 69.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY B/XB K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 3 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | BELL OF VICTORY B2/TT1 C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 10 | 138.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIAMOND SOARS | 18.1% | 5.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 15.6% | 6.42 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | SHENRON | 14.8% | 6.76 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 9.1% | 11.02 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | SHANGHAI POWER | 6.7% | 14.99 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | BOOMING WELL | 6.2% | 16.11 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH | 5.8% | 17.29 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 5.7% | 17.50 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 5.5% | 18.22 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 4.8% | 20.65 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER CLASS | 4.4% | 22.78 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | BELL OF VICTORY | 3.4% | 29.40 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 50
PLACE
1 17.5
3 64
9 66
QUINELLA
1,3 664
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 205
1,9 237
3,9 642.5
FORECAST
1,3 1,375
TIERCE
1,3,9 17,190
TRIO
1,3,9 3,682
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 3,788
QUARTET
1,3,9,8 88,418
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26.5
A3 —