Happy Valley · 2023-02-15 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT 1.39.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly CP/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 9 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY TURN H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 3 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LOYAL BABY Led early TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 133.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NIMBLE NIMBUS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with GALLANT WAKING second and STAR CONTACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JUMBO LEGEND finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND | 20.2% | 4.94 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING | 17.9% | 5.58 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 12.0% | 8.34 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 9.7% | 10.35 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ZONE D | 7.6% | 13.17 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO | 6.6% | 15.12 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 6.6% | 15.17 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 6.0% | 16.58 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 5.5% | 18.21 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 5.4% | 18.64 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY TURN | 1.4% | 71.19 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 1.1% | 89.03 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 49
PLACE
1 21
4 18
12 18
QUINELLA
1,4 126
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 53.5
1,12 58
4,12 51.5
FORECAST
4,1 303
TIERCE
4,1,12 1,120
TRIO
1,4,12 198
FIRST 4
1,4,8,12 138
QUARTET
4,1,12,8 3,991
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/1,4,12 7,511
8TH DOUBLE
7/1 47.5
7/4 327.5
SIX UP
3,10/5,7/3,7/8,10/6,7/1,4 16,765
10/7/3/10/7/4 587,270
3 [P F Yiu] —
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
10/7/1 642
10/7/4 3,667