Happy Valley · 2023-02-15 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-15 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WONDER YEARS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with CABLE SPEED second and LOYAL AMBITION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT 2.16.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | CABLE SPEED Led early TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly V/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 3 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | JUBILATION V Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 12 | 5.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SKY GEM C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 7.3 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE XB C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 95.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL B/H/XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 1 | 29.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | BARON ZEE B/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 8 | 15.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | JOLLY FOREVER XB/B2/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LOYAL AMBITION | 20.2% | 4.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | WONDER YEARS | 17.2% | 5.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | JUBILATION | 15.4% | 6.51 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 8.6% | 11.65 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | WAH MAY LUCK | 8.0% | 12.47 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | SKY GEM | 7.1% | 14.00 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | BARON ZEE | 6.9% | 14.51 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | CABLE SPEED | 5.1% | 19.70 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL | 3.7% | 26.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | JOLLY FOREVER | 3.7% | 26.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | OWNERS' STAR | 2.5% | 40.17 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE | 1.6% | 61.05 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 35.5
PLACE
1 15
4 23.5
10 43.5
QUINELLA
1,10 239
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 53.5
1,10 85.5
4,10 145
FORECAST
1,10 486
TIERCE
1,10,4 2,753
TRIO
1,4,10 425
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 3,542
QUARTET
1,10,4,2 43,983
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 283.5
1/10 196
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —