Happy Valley · 2023-02-15 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING Wire to wire TT 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly CP-/XB1/B2/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 2 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THETA HEDGE Closed strongly B-/H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | AI ONE H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NUNCHUKS TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING Closed strongly B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 91.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HERCULES B-/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 81.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 4.8 | 35-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SAMARKAND H/XB/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | — | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SPLENDID LIVING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3, with FEARLESS FIRE second and READY PLAYER ONE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 15.6% | 6.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE | 14.5% | 6.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 11.6% | 8.65 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 11.5% | 8.69 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 9.7% | 10.32 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA | 8.1% | 12.38 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 6.8% | 14.66 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SAMARKAND | 6.7% | 14.99 | — |
| 9 | 0 | SURREALISM | 6.5% | 15.32 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | AI ONE | 5.5% | 18.33 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | HERCULES | 2.1% | 48.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.5% | 65.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 35.5
PLACE
2 19
3 65.5
10 17.5
QUINELLA
3,10 629.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 233
2,10 39
3,10 188.5
FORECAST
10,3 1,175
TIERCE
10,3,2 7,020
TRIO
2,3,10 764
FIRST 4
2,3,10,12 1,414
QUARTET
10,3,2,12 40,879
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
11,12/3 156.5
11,12/10 145