跑馬地 · 2023-02-15 · 22:18
第 8場
2023-02-15跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的SOLID IMPACT勝出，贏出N。LUCKY EIGHT獲得亞軍；WINNING ICEY獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門LUCKY EIGHT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT 1.09.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 4.6 | N |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY EIGHT CP K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING ICEY TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | N |
| 4 | 2 | RED LION H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SAVVY CHIC TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 11 | 100.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS B/TT2 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | DINKUM CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 5 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HERO STAR TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SCIENCE PATCH V H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 4 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT | 20.4% | 4.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY EIGHT | 12.5% | 7.99 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | RED LION | 12.5% | 8.01 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 8.5% | 11.73 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | DINKUM | 8.5% | 11.81 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | WINNING ICEY | 8.3% | 12.03 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SAVVY CHIC | 8.3% | 12.03 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | SCIENCE PATCH | 6.4% | 15.61 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | HERO STAR | 5.4% | 18.50 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 3.8% | 26.32 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS | 3.2% | 31.67 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | SMOKEY BEAR | 2.2% | 44.57 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 46
PLACE
5 19.5
6 14
7 18
QUINELLA
6,7 74
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 41
5,7 66.5
6,7 33.5
FORECAST
7,6 217
TIERCE
7,6,5 730
TRIO
5,6,7 154
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 162
QUARTET
7,6,5,2 3,327
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/6 53
10/7 590