跑馬地 · 2023-03-01 · 22:53
第 9場
2023-03-01跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、J Size訓練的HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE勝出，贏出2。MAJESTIC KNIGHT獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA CIBLE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 1.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 9 | 8.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | SETANTA B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CZARSON CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 1 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HERE COMES TED B/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DINKUM CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 72.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 67.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 7 | 31.0 | 50 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 30.1% | 3.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 15.7% | 6.37 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 8.5% | 11.70 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 8.0% | 12.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | DINKUM | 7.2% | 13.99 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | CZARSON | 5.6% | 17.98 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | SETANTA | 5.5% | 18.05 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 4.9% | 20.48 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 4.6% | 21.62 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 4.3% | 23.32 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | HERE COMES TED | 3.7% | 26.73 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 1.8% | 54.66 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 16
PLACE
1 26
3 22.5
9 10.5
QUINELLA
3,9 66.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 102.5
1,9 33.5
3,9 31
FORECAST
9,3 80
TIERCE
9,3,1 426
TRIO
1,3,9 166
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 331
QUARTET
9,3,1,7 3,005
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,11/1,3,9 17,931
8TH DOUBLE
11/3 40
11/9 71
SIX UP
8,9/1,10/2,3/4,9/6,8,11/3,9 2,049
8/10/2/4/11/9 2,415,368
2 [K Teetan] —
5 [D A Hayes] —
TREBLE
4/11/3 3,957
4/11/9 9,784