跑馬地 · 2023-03-01 · 19:17
第 2場
2023-03-01跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HK DRAGON勝出，贏出2-1/4。CORDYCEPS ONE獲得亞軍；HAPPY JAI JAI獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門SIXTH GENERATION跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HK DRAGON 後段發力 B-/V1/TT 1.39.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | CORDYCEPS ONE 後段發力 H-/B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 4 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SIXTH GENERATION 早段領放 H/TT S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 11 | 3.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ROBOT WARRIOR 後段發力 V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CHARMING STEED TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELITE CP2/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 25.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | EXUBERANT B-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PEAK TO PEAK 後段發力 PC/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 59.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | JUST GREAT TWO B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 7 | 107.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SCHOLARLY KING B1/TT1 H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 3 | 91.0 | 20-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SIXTH GENERATION | 23.3% | 4.30 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | CHATER PINS | 15.6% | 6.40 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | EXUBERANT | 13.0% | 7.72 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 12.9% | 7.76 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 8.4% | 11.87 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 6.9% | 14.53 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | PEAK TO PEAK | 5.2% | 19.12 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | HK DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.78 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 4.2% | 23.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | CHARMING STEED | 2.7% | 36.37 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | SCHOLARLY KING | 2.4% | 41.73 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | JUST GREAT TWO | 0.8% | 122.20 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 166.5
PLACE
1 43.5
9 27.5
12 22
QUINELLA
1,12 492.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 186
1,12 134.5
9,12 83
FORECAST
1,12 1,150
TIERCE
1,12,9 8,164
TRIO
1,9,12 1,306
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 907
QUARTET
1,12,9,11 27,353
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/1 1,031.5
6/12 117.5
3 PICK 1
A3 31
A2 —
A1 —