跑馬地 · 2023-03-08 · 19:46
第 3場
2023-03-08跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的YOUNG VICTORY勝出，贏出3/4。HELENE WISDOM STAR獲得亞軍；EIGHTEEN PALMS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門EIGHTEEN PALMS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | YOUNG VICTORY 後段發力 TT 1.40.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 62.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | HELENE WISDOM STAR 後段發力 B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | EIGHTEEN PALMS CP H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | BIG TWO 早段領放 H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | THETA HEDGE H/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 10 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | PERFECT ROCK 後段發力 B- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 156.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | PROUD DRAGON V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | WIND N GRASS B/XB/TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 6 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 70.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SAMARKAND H/XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 17.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 35.4% | 2.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | PROUD DRAGON | 12.0% | 8.37 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 8.0% | 12.52 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 7.8% | 12.79 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | FEARLESS FIRE | 7.0% | 14.24 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | BIG TWO | 5.7% | 17.49 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | SAMARKAND | 5.5% | 18.12 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | THETA HEDGE | 5.0% | 19.90 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | YOUNG VICTORY | 4.6% | 21.63 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | PASSING FASHION | 4.4% | 22.67 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | WIND N GRASS | 3.7% | 26.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | PERFECT ROCK | 0.8% | 132.89 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 625
PLACE
3 13.5
6 18
8 95.5
QUINELLA
6,8 1,116.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 36.5
3,8 226
6,8 261
FORECAST
8,6 2,580
TIERCE
8,6,3 11,492
TRIO
3,6,8 1,188
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 1,373
QUARTET
8,6,3,2 70,142
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/3,6,8 72,153
2ND DOUBLE
1/6 63.5
1/8 3,693
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 45.5
A2 —