Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly TT 1.40.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 62.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS CP H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BIG TWO Led early H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THETA HEDGE H/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 10 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK Closed strongly B- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 156.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WIND N GRASS B/XB/TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 6 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 70.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SAMARKAND H/XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | — | 17.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG VICTORY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with HELENE WISDOM STAR second and EIGHTEEN PALMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite EIGHTEEN PALMS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 35.4% | 2.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 12.0% | 8.37 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 8.0% | 12.52 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 7.8% | 12.79 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 7.0% | 14.24 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BIG TWO | 5.7% | 17.49 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SAMARKAND | 5.5% | 18.12 | — |
| 8 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 5.0% | 19.90 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 4.6% | 21.63 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | PASSING FASHION | 4.4% | 22.67 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 3.7% | 26.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK | 0.8% | 132.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 625
PLACE
3 13.5
6 18
8 95.5
QUINELLA
6,8 1,116.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 36.5
3,8 226
6,8 261
FORECAST
8,6 2,580
TIERCE
8,6,3 11,492
TRIO
3,6,8 1,188
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 1,373
QUARTET
8,6,3,2 70,142
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/3,6,8 72,153
2ND DOUBLE
1/6 63.5
1/8 3,693
3 PICK 1
A3 45.5
A1 —
A2 —