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Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 22:55

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1000m Course B 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HANDSOME BO BO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with HARMONY AND RICH second and ROCK YA HEART third. The 4.1 favourite ROCK YA HEART finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 0.56.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 HANDSOME BO BO TT 0.56.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum 1 8.6 N
2 8 HARMONY AND RICH M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 4 15.0 N
3 10 ROCK YA HEART TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 4.1 1/2
4 1 WHIZZ KID B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 2 4.5 3/4
5 11 WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · F C Lor 12 57.0 1-1/4
6 7 TORONADO PHANTOM TT L Currie · J Size 7 29.0 1-1/4
7 12 SPECIAL M PC/TT M F Poon · J Size 9 11.0 2
8 9 POWER KOEPP E- K C Leung · K L Man 3 7.7 2-1/4
9 4 CARROLL STREET B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 5 6.4 3
10 3 ASTROLOGER SR A Badel · P C Ng 10 12.0 3-1/4
11 6 KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Hamelin · K W Lui 8 59.0 3-1/4
12 5 GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 11 21.0 4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HANDSOME BO BO2. HARMONY AND RICH+0.05L3. ROCK YA HEART+0.5L4. WHIZZ KID+0.75L5. WE THE SOUTH+1.25L6. TORONADO PHANTOM+1.25L7. SPECIAL M+2L8. POWER KOEPP+2.25L9. CARROLL STREET+3L10. ASTROLOGER+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CARROLL STREET (19.0%) finished 9th — the winner HANDSOME BO BO was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 CARROLL STREET 19.0% 5.27 9
2 10 ROCK YA HEART 14.9% 6.70 3
3 3 ASTROLOGER 12.1% 8.27 10
4 9 POWER KOEPP 10.7% 9.38 8
5 1 WHIZZ KID 9.5% 10.50 4
6 2 HANDSOME BO BO 9.3% 10.74 1
7 12 SPECIAL M 6.8% 14.78 7
8 7 TORONADO PHANTOM 5.9% 16.92 6
9 5 GRATEFUL HEART 4.9% 20.61 12
10 11 WE THE SOUTH 2.9% 34.69 5
11 6 KEEP YOU WARM 2.2% 46.48 11
12 8 HARMONY AND RICH 1.9% 51.47 2
CARROLL STREETROCK YA HEARTASTROLOGERPOWER KOEPPWHIZZ KIDHANDSOME BO BO — wonSPECIAL MTORONADO PHANTOMGRATEFUL HEARTWE THE SOUTHKEEP YOU WARMHARMONY AND RICH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 86

PLACE

2 27.5

8 44.5

10 17

QUINELLA

2,8 680

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 216

2,10 56.5

8,10 127.5

FORECAST

2,8 1,336

TIERCE

2,8,10 6,365

TRIO

2,8,10 877

FIRST 4

1,2,8,10 914

QUARTET

2,8,10,1 27,851

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1

A2 21.5

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,6/2,8,10 11,481

8TH DOUBLE

6/2 481

6/8 248

SIX UP

3,12/1,7/10,11/7,12/5,6/2,8 31,599

12/1/11/12/6/2 2,636,338

2 [C Y Ho]

2 [K W Lui]

TREBLE

12/6/2 1,443

12/6/8 694