Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SON PAK FU, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-3/4, with DIVINE ERA second and KOKUSHI MUSOU third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SON PAK FU BO 1.09.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | DIVINE ERA TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | DURHAM STAR B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SHADOW RUNNER TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | DRAGON KINGDOM M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MASTER OF ALL H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 65.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SO AWESOME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | JOY IN JOY A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 30.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | DARCI LEGEND H1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 82.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | KEEN UNITY B/TT2 H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 11 | 91.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MULTIWIN B/H M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 85.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SON PAK FU | 27.8% | 3.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | DIVINE ERA | 15.8% | 6.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 14.1% | 7.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | DURHAM STAR | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | DARCI LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.57 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | SHADOW RUNNER | 6.6% | 15.18 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | SO AWESOME | 5.1% | 19.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 4.4% | 22.58 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | MASTER OF ALL | 3.0% | 32.85 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | JOY IN JOY | 2.4% | 41.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | KEEN UNITY | 2.4% | 42.01 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | MULTIWIN | 1.9% | 51.60 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 28
PLACE
1 16
3 28
10 14
QUINELLA
3,10 137
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 66
1,10 27.5
3,10 49.5
FORECAST
10,3 210
TIERCE
10,3,1 658
TRIO
1,3,10 142
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 74
QUARTET
10,3,1,2 1,634
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —