Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PEGASUS GENERAL, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with SATIRICAL GLORY second and TIANCHI MONSTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ROCKET SPADE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V 1.49.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 7 | 9.8 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | HD |
| 4 | 12 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 38.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 2.1 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MEANINGFUL STAR B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 8 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER OASIS H-/B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 33.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS H L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 6 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SAVVY KINGMAN A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | COMET SPLENDIDO CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE | 23.6% | 4.24 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 11.7% | 8.53 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 10.5% | 9.52 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | ROUND THE EARTH | 8.9% | 11.18 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 8.7% | 11.46 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 6.7% | 14.99 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 6.0% | 16.75 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 4.2% | 23.65 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.1% | 24.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 3.9% | 25.54 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER OASIS | 2.8% | 35.57 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 98.5
PLACE
1 27.5
10 30.5
11 30
QUINELLA
10,11 474
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 165
1,11 125.5
10,11 137.5
FORECAST
11,10 1,261
TIERCE
11,10,1 9,961
TRIO
1,10,11 1,451
FIRST 4
1,10,11,12 7,925
QUARTET
11,10,1,12 163,758
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/10 190
1/11 551.5