Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLD GOLD BABY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with XPONENTIAL second and WINNING ICEY third. The 2.1 favourite WINNING ICEY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT 1.09.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | WINNING ICEY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | RED DESERT B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | NAMJONG SINGS B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 46.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER H1/P1/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HERO STAR TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | ROMAN TURBO B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SHINING GEM B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 112.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | TRADER CP/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 2 | 18.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING ICEY | 23.1% | 4.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 19.6% | 5.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER | 14.1% | 7.11 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | XPONENTIAL | 8.5% | 11.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | RED DESERT | 7.1% | 14.15 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 5.9% | 16.94 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | ROMAN TURBO | 5.2% | 19.39 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | NAMJONG SINGS | 4.4% | 22.54 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | HERO STAR | 4.1% | 24.29 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SHINING GEM | 3.6% | 27.89 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | TRADER | 2.5% | 39.60 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.9% | 52.16 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 65
PLACE
3 11.5
5 27.5
6 20.5
QUINELLA
5,6 338.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 46.5
3,6 34
5,6 90.5
FORECAST
6,5 517
TIERCE
6,5,3 1,157
TRIO
3,5,6 137
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 316
QUARTET
6,5,3,4 9,032
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16
7TH DOUBLE
12/5 69.5
12/6 136.5