Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 20:47
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER VINCE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with E UNIVERSE second and TIMESTORM third. The 2.4 favourite SIGHT HERO finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER VINCE XB/TT 1.10.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 7.8 | N |
| 2 | 7 | E UNIVERSE B/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 4 | 4.9 | N |
| 3 | 10 | TIMESTORM XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 8.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 5 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | SUNNY AND GOLD B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 11 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | EAGLE RUN SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 7 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | CALL ME TEDDY TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 53.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | DIAMOND FOREVER C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 57.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CASA SACRED TT1 H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 1 | 71.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FOREVER FRIENDS H/P K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | ABOVE ALL H/XB M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 12 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | E UNIVERSE | 22.9% | 4.38 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | TIMESTORM | 11.7% | 8.51 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER VINCE | 11.7% | 8.55 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | SIGHT HERO | 9.7% | 10.30 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | FOREVER FRIENDS | 9.1% | 10.95 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER | 8.3% | 11.98 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 7.6% | 13.09 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | ABOVE ALL | 6.1% | 16.26 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 4.3% | 23.28 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | CASA SACRED | 3.5% | 28.94 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | EAGLE RUN | 2.6% | 38.95 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.4% | 41.42 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 78
PLACE
1 21
7 18.5
10 24
QUINELLA
1,7 195.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 68.5
1,10 79
7,10 69
FORECAST
1,7 373
TIERCE
1,7,10 2,299
TRIO
1,7,10 428
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 263
QUARTET
1,7,10,3 7,027
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/1,7,10 118,764
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 15.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/1 1,273
12/7 196