Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. KING OF THE COURT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with KUNG FU TEA second and STURDY RUBY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.7 favourite LONDON LUCKYSTAR finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT Wire to wire B 1.40.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 4 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT1 H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | IRON WILL Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 3 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | COPARTNER ERA B K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 2 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | BABY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | COPARTNER FIONN H/V/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | YOUNG SPARKLE A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 6 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | ALL JOYFUL B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 21.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ODE TO JOY B/XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 41.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 18.6% | 5.39 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | STURDY RUBY | 12.1% | 8.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | IRON WILL | 10.4% | 9.58 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | KUNG FU TEA | 9.1% | 11.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | SUNNY BABY | 8.7% | 11.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | COPARTNER FIONN | 8.3% | 12.00 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | COPARTNER ERA | 7.1% | 14.06 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | ODE TO JOY | 6.7% | 14.93 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT | 6.5% | 15.29 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | BABY | 5.8% | 17.20 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 3.7% | 27.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | ALL JOYFUL | 2.9% | 34.07 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 170.5
PLACE
3 20
4 45
12 47
QUINELLA
3,12 734
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 141
3,12 196.5
4,12 322.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,756
TIERCE
12,3,4 15,423
TRIO
3,4,12 2,548
FIRST 4
3,4,9,12 2,909
QUARTET
12,3,4,9 83,025
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 23.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 774.5
8/12 10,945