Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 6.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 129.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 9.1 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | STORMTROUPER E/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 8.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN WARSTEED B-/XB-/TT1 V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 58.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | CAPE BRETON SR-/CP1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 24.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | 3.1 | 3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GUMMY GUMMY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with SOLID IMPACT second and HUMBLE STAR third. The 3.1 favourite BRAVE STAR did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRAVE STAR | 18.8% | 5.31 | — |
| 2 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT | 15.2% | 6.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 13.2% | 7.59 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 12.2% | 8.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 10.5% | 9.52 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | YO BEAUTY | 8.0% | 12.55 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | HUMBLE STAR | 6.6% | 15.06 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | STORMTROUPER | 5.7% | 17.46 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY | 4.0% | 25.09 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | CAPE BRETON | 2.6% | 38.93 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 2.0% | 49.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG | 1.2% | 84.84 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 31
PLACE
4 24
7 44
12 15
QUINELLA
7,12 255
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 154.5
4,12 47.5
7,12 106
FORECAST
12,7 442
TIERCE
12,7,4 2,415
TRIO
4,7,12 503
FIRST 4
4,5,7,12 2,804
QUARTET
12,7,4,5 41,544
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/4,7,12 295,457
6TH DOUBLE
11/7 280
11/12 405.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,10/1,10,11/Any Combination 9,092