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Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1000m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 0.56.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT 0.56.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man 10 5.6 3/4
2 0 RAGING BLAZE TT K C Leung · J Size 2 5.7 3/4
3 0 TRONIC MIGHTY V/XB/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 11 8.4 1-1/4
4 0 DAY DAY RICH B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 1 5.6 2-3/4
5 0 U W BROTHER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 8 14.0 3-1/4
6 0 ACA POWER CP H Bowman · D J Hall 7 9.8 3-1/4
7 0 SMART FOLKS B/SR L Ferraris · C W Chang 6 7.7 3-1/2
8 0 UNIVERSAL CROWN B K Teetan · D J Whyte 3 10.0 5-3/4
9 0 BOOMING WELL B-/V1 A Badel · C H Yip 5 12.0 6
10 0 CALL ME LU TT M F Poon · L Ho 4 55.0 6-1/4
11 0 TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 9 24.0 8-1/2
12 0 ENCORE TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 12 42.0 10-1/4
— 0 STRIVE FOR GLORY L Hewitson · W Y So — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KOWLOON EAST STAR, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with RAGING BLAZE second and TRONIC MIGHTY third. Victory came as the 5.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KOWLOON EAST STAR—2. RAGING BLAZE+0.75L3. TRONIC MIGHTY+1.25L4. DAY DAY RICH+2.75L5. U W BROTHER+3.25L6. ACA POWER+3.25L7. SMART FOLKS+3.5L8. UNIVERSAL CROWN+5.75L9. BOOMING WELL+6L10. CALL ME LU+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick ACA POWER (20.5%) finished 6th — the winner KOWLOON EAST STAR was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ACA POWER 20.5% 4.88 6
2 0 RAGING BLAZE 13.9% 7.20 2
3 0 TRONIC MIGHTY 12.4% 8.03 3
4 0 SMART FOLKS 10.6% 9.40 7
5 0 DAY DAY RICH 7.9% 12.74 4
6 0 BOOMING WELL 7.6% 13.20 9
7 0 KOWLOON EAST STAR 7.3% 13.78 1
8 0 ENCORE 6.8% 14.64 12
9 0 UNIVERSAL CROWN 5.5% 18.31 8
10 0 CALL ME LU 2.7% 36.68 10
11 0 TREASURE OF FIELD 2.4% 41.13 11
12 0 U W BROTHER 2.4% 41.38 5
ACA POWERRAGING BLAZETRONIC MIGHTYSMART FOLKSDAY DAY RICHBOOMING WELLKOWLOON EAST STAR — wonENCOREUNIVERSAL CROWNCALL ME LUTREASURE OF FIELDU W BROTHER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 56.5

PLACE

1 22.5

6 29

9 19

QUINELLA

1,9 190.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 100.5

1,9 78

6,9 89

FORECAST

1,9 361

TIERCE

1,9,6 2,989

TRIO

1,6,9 520

FIRST 4

1,6,9,10 466

QUARTET

1,9,6,10 11,747

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/1 179

10/9 31.5

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 27

A3 —