Happy Valley · 2023-03-08 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-08 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KOWLOON EAST STAR, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with RAGING BLAZE second and TRONIC MIGHTY third. Victory came as the 5.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT 0.56.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE TT K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 2 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | TRONIC MIGHTY V/XB/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 5.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | U W BROTHER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ACA POWER CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 9.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SMART FOLKS B/SR L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 6 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | BOOMING WELL B-/V1 A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | CALL ME LU TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 55.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 24.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | ENCORE TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 12 | 42.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | STRIVE FOR GLORY L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ACA POWER | 20.5% | 4.88 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE | 13.9% | 7.20 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 12.4% | 8.03 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | SMART FOLKS | 10.6% | 9.40 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH | 7.9% | 12.74 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | BOOMING WELL | 7.6% | 13.20 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 7.3% | 13.78 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | ENCORE | 6.8% | 14.64 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 5.5% | 18.31 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | CALL ME LU | 2.7% | 36.68 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 2.4% | 41.13 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | U W BROTHER | 2.4% | 41.38 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 56.5
PLACE
1 22.5
6 29
9 19
QUINELLA
1,9 190.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 100.5
1,9 78
6,9 89
FORECAST
1,9 361
TIERCE
1,9,6 2,989
TRIO
1,6,9 520
FIRST 4
1,6,9,10 466
QUARTET
1,9,6,10 11,747
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 179
10/9 31.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27