沙田 · 2023-03-19 · 15:06
第 5場
2023-03-19沙田第5場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的VICTOR THE WINNER勝出，贏出2-1/2。PACKING TREADMILL獲得亞軍；BEAUTY CHARGE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT 1.08.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 1.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL SR H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 5 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TRILLION WIN B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | BEAUTY TYCOON P-/H/PC1 S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU CP- K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WINNING DREAMER B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 83.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 10 | 143.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 66.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 37.8% | 2.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL | 16.6% | 6.04 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 14.7% | 6.79 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 8.1% | 12.32 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 6.5% | 15.49 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | TRILLION WIN | 5.1% | 19.73 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | WINNING DREAMER | 3.1% | 32.55 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.3% | 44.19 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 2.2% | 45.04 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 2.2% | 45.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | FAMILY FOLKS | 1.5% | 65.90 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 15.5
PLACE
5 13
7 32
10 10.5
QUINELLA
5,10 38
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 59.5
5,10 20
7,10 38
FORECAST
10,5 53
TIERCE
10,5,7 327
TRIO
5,7,10 113
FIRST 4
5,7,9,10 203
QUARTET
10,5,7,9 1,796
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12
4TH DOUBLE
4/5 106
4/10 423.5