沙田 · 2023-03-19 · 13:01
第 1場
2023-03-19沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、K W Lui訓練的CALL ME DANDY勝出，贏出2。CHAMPION INSTINCT獲得亞軍；JUNE PLANET獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門SNOWALOT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CALL ME DANDY CP/XB1/TT- 1.09.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 3 | 51.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | JUNE PLANET C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SNOWALOT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 3.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR H/SB M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 6.8 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | SOARING TOWER B/TT1 S De Sousa · W Y So | S De Sousa | W Y So | 5 | 6.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | PLENTIFUL H/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 13 | 71.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | TRAVEL GUIDE XB/TT1 L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 4 | 162.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SWEET DIAMOND V-/CP1/TT- D Lane · P F Yiu | D Lane | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 11 | 5.1 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | GOLD STERLING A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 90.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 14 | 71.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | PRECISION GOAL P/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 128.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 17.5% | 5.71 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | SNOWALOT | 17.2% | 5.82 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | JUNE PLANET | 15.9% | 6.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | SOARING TOWER | 9.2% | 10.91 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | PLENTIFUL | 7.6% | 13.17 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | CALL ME DANDY | 7.0% | 14.25 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 6.4% | 15.57 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 5.6% | 17.78 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SWEET DIAMOND | 3.5% | 28.85 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR | 3.4% | 29.31 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLD STERLING | 2.2% | 46.43 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 1.7% | 59.99 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | PRECISION GOAL | 1.6% | 63.57 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 1.3% | 77.14 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 165.5
PLACE
3 19
4 118.5
10 55.5
QUINELLA
4,10 4,895.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 314
3,10 160
4,10 1,193.5
FORECAST
10,4 9,540
TIERCE
10,4,3 68,330
TRIO
3,4,10 7,275
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 3,646
QUARTET
10,4,3,12 159,458
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 33.5